Leaderboards: the new solution
We're incredibly grateful to everyone who posted comments, feedback and ideas regarding the leaderboard quarter-end proposal. For brevity, let's say there were some very well-founded concerns that we've taken on board. In light of the discussion we've simplified things. In summary:
a) We'll motivate newbies and feed competition with the weekly % gain leaderboards
b) We'll let people find themselves on all leaderboards so they can compete with those around them (this includes the fresh new quarterly gain leaderboard)
c) we won't reset or rescale anyone's cash or predictions
The problem of managing large portfolios will be addressed by improving the portfolio management functionality. The problem of wealthy Hubdubbers moving questions with large wagers will be addressed separately.
Later we'll maybe introduce the ability to buy goodies for your profile so those rich ones amongst you can reduce your cash and do better in % gain terms.
It's a much simpler and better approach at this stage, so I wanted to say thanks again for all the hard thinking you've been doing on this. It's great for Hubdub to have such a passionate and thoughtful community to draw on. It'll be a better site because of it.
Cheers,
Tom
a) We'll motivate newbies and feed competition with the weekly % gain leaderboards
b) We'll let people find themselves on all leaderboards so they can compete with those around them (this includes the fresh new quarterly gain leaderboard)
c) we won't reset or rescale anyone's cash or predictions
The problem of managing large portfolios will be addressed by improving the portfolio management functionality. The problem of wealthy Hubdubbers moving questions with large wagers will be addressed separately.
Later we'll maybe introduce the ability to buy goodies for your profile so those rich ones amongst you can reduce your cash and do better in % gain terms.
It's a much simpler and better approach at this stage, so I wanted to say thanks again for all the hard thinking you've been doing on this. It's great for Hubdub to have such a passionate and thoughtful community to draw on. It'll be a better site because of it.
Cheers,
Tom
7
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I like this idea!
Tell me when this idea gets some attention.
The more people who like this idea, the more it gets noticed.
The more people who like this idea, the more it gets noticed.
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Inappropriate?I'm pleased with this solution. It's great when Hubdub shows it listens to the community. Thanks.
That said, I'm open to discussion on a future cash reset or rescale if it's decided that it's necessary. I'm not against HubMarxism, just rushing into it to meet the quarter deadline.
One question: When do gains start counting for the new quarterly board? I'm guessing that now old predictions can count as gains for the new quarter.
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Inappropriate?yes this was a good solution..as long as new people don't see the large numbers people have overall and realize it is a quarterly game i think they won't be as discouraged to participate..and as machine said it may in the future have to be revisited but i think the discussion would have to begin earlier than right b4 it would start
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Inappropriate?I'm very happy with this resolution. As said before: You take the motivation if you take the wealth by force (this is the same reason why marxism cannot work out).
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Inappropriate?I'm happy that some kind of a solution has been reached, but I think that infernalmachine's old "Royal Bank Of Hubdub" idea should be put into force before march 31st, if possible(though that isn't probable). I'm telling you one thing: I, unlike jersjustrolling, destry and some of the others, I cannot maintain a high rate of growth with 400,000.
I’m sad
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Inappropriate?This seems to be a much better solution, at least for now. Infernal's comment about HubMarxism triggered a thought for the future. How about an income tax (though I guess it would _really_ be a capital gains tax), Then we can all argue about whether to tax the wealthy or screw the middle class 8^)
Eventually, there would be a HubGovernment, HubLobbyists, and HubCorruption scandals!
I’m being assimilated by the Hub
1 person thinks
this is one of the best points
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Inappropriate?I like the Royal Bank of Hubdub, the potential tax scheme (Hubdub admins can use those $H to pay for staff ;p ), I like keeping my $H for now, but can sense that some rescaling will be necessary in the future (which I fully support). I think that SD's thoughtful approach to the mechanics of the rescaling makes a lot of sense.
I'd pay good $H for some pimping icons or other stuff. I wouldn't mind playing at a lower tier if those around me 'see my stuff' :)
I'd enjoy helping middle tier hubdubbers learn to reach for the heights. Kind of like the Warren Buffet of Hubdub, but not so filthy rich.
Now that's SATISFACTION! Thanks Hubdubbers for your zeal!
I’m excited about the next quarter!
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Inappropriate?I love this idea, however I also like the capital gains tax.
I’m We can get some satisfaction, if we try
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Inappropriate?Even though I'm not in _your_ tax bracket, I think the Royal Bank of Hubdub is a great idea. If it could be used to lock away some of the H$ of the HubWealthy so they could compete on an equal basis with us HubMortals, I think it would be widely used by the HubWealthy. It might be a way for the site to remain more level, and more fun for everybody, without imposing top-down HubWealth redistribution plans or HubTaxes (top-down management of markets has a proven record of being unsuccessful).
In fact, you mentioned Warren Buffet, who is a proponent of the wealthy paying higher taxes (apparently he has not noticed the incredible economic growth in the parts of Eastern Europe that have adopted a flat income tax).
So the questions are going to be, should there be a Federal Bank of Hubdub (Royal is sooo out-of-date)? Will the HubWealthy deposit significant amounts of their HubFortunes voluntarily? And under what conditions should depositors be allowed to withdraw H$? (These are not necessarily in any order, I probably should have put the last one first)
Lastly, I think this is a pretty long-term idea, so let's have a serious, considered, discussion about it, There's no need for anyone to "get their drawers in a bunch" over this. If it ever happens it probably won't happen for a while.
I’m trying to think ahead ... maybe I should start a new thread 8^)
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Inappropriate?I think that any banking institution should require that $H deposits (or bonds) remain commited for periods of at least a quarter, commensurate with the interest rate to be expected. Large, long-term $H investments should attract a higher interest rate. Smaller, short-term investments, would receive a lower interest rate. Anyone, rich or poor alike could take advantage of the bank. Some are borrowers, some are lenders. The Bank takes it vig, ensuring that some $H is removed from the market. (Those funds can be used to pay Hubdub staff.)
If an investor loses all of their in-play $H, they, like anybody else, can apply for a loan from the Bank. However, unless you have funds deposited, the max amount you may borrow is (insert appropriate figure here). If a Hubdubber has funds deposited, they may take an interest-bearing loan up to half of their deposited funds, up to a maximum of $H20K.
The above $H are only examples. The community must decide if:
a) the Bank is appropriate
b) what are the rules.
I’m excited about the possibilities
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Inappropriate?I have to laugh at seeing my not-so-popular-at-the-time Royal Bank of Hubdub idea resurfacing. To clarify: I called it Royal Bank of Hubdub as a "witticism" related to RBS (The Royal Bank of Scotland) and the national origin of HD.
It's weird to see people clamouring for wealth-redistribution and taxation in the game, given how phenomenally unpopular these ideas have become in real life. (BTW, that's an observation, not a criticism.)
Redistribution in itself seems to me a drastic move in a game - you're basically penalizing the successful, while a game usually does the opposite. If a game creates a situation in which a minority's success ruins the game experience for the majority, then perhaps, as Tom has hinted, there's a need for the admins to look at the mechanics of the markets to see if this phenomenon can be reduced or removed.
Taxation: this reminds me of that behavioural economics experiment where people are paired up and offered a total of $10. Person A proposes a split of the $10, and person B decides whether to accept that split or not. If the split is refused, neither A nor B gets any money. The results of the experiment seem to be that unless A offers very close to a 50-50 split, B will refuse - that is, they'd rather get nothing than let A get too much more than themselves, and secondly that A intuitively knows that, and very rarely offers a split that far from 50-50. We'd rather give up wealth than see someone else "unfairly" get ahead, I guess.
I think I tend to oppose these approaches, because they are counter to the incentives that are central to a game. However, I've always supported the possibility of all starting equal when the game comes out of beta - but that's because it's a one-time thing and mostly because it addresses the problem of loopholes in the early beta regarding gaming, market adjustment, late cash-in, etc.
The bank idea has its merits, but it's important to remember that investment in a bank is all about incentive or security. Security, in the sense of not getting robbed, is not an issue here, so far at least. So having a bank would mean that money placed in it would have to have some payout, so the wealth of depositors would increase. When I suggested the idea, I was really thinking about the bank lending money to people who go bust, and using the interest charged as a basis for the interest payed to investors. But I certainly didn't intend a bank as a means of forcing people to take their money out of market-wagering, and punish them if they want to have access to their earnings.
So taxation and banking only fit the bill if there's some use for the gathered money.
I'm far more in support of two other ideas. The first comes from the world of sports, and that's the concept of seasons regarding the status of teams in their league tables. Every season you all start with zero points, although it is a matter of pride if you won the championship last year, or came in first in your league (if that's a different thing). As a game, HD can clearly benefit from looking at how other games handle too much winning (imagine a (historically) top team if the league just kept adding all the individual seasons' points together).
And, although I personally am not all that interested or impressed by bling, I think that a way to meaningfully spend money is a great idea. It takes the cash out of play, and yet it has "value" - in fact, it should also have a resale value in terms of H$ (discounted 50%?) so that you can exchange it for cash if you wish. I can even envisage HD auctioning unique items. The challenge is to make these items actually desirable.
1 person thinks
this is one of the best points
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Inappropriate?InfernalMachine,
I think a couple of clarifications are in order,
First I only proposed taxes half-seriously, and if that can apply to t*ts, it should also apply to taxes (though I agree that at my point in life taxes are more important).
Second, I never said anything about the bank forcibly redistributing wealth. It was my impression in past threads that there was a sentiment amongst the HubWealthy to compete on an equal basis with the HubPeasants, so I proposed that it might be possible for the HubWealthy todeposit, and "lock away" some of their HubRiches in an account , so they were returned to HubPeasantry, That way the HubWealthy could once again prove their superiority to the HubMortals, and their accumulated HubRiches could provide a safety net for HubWealthy who have fallen on hard times.
I’m against forcible redistribution of Hub, or _real_, wealth
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Inappropriate?I'm not attacking anyone's personal ideas - just putting out my own thoughts about the various ideas that have come up, as a small piece of the larger discussion.
Banking sounds like a voluntary activity. To encourage people to put wealth in the bank, you can't excessively prevent them from taking their money out whenever they feel like it. If it's too costly or complex to remove one's deposit, deposits aren't worth making, which defeats the purpose of adding a bank to the game.
Selling bling (and buying it back at reduced price upon request) is a simpler and more fun way to have money parked, provided the bling is actually worth buying. The occasional reset to an even playing field idea is, to my view, best handled by using a mechanism from the sports season construct. (The Boston Celtics will not be claiming a communist plot when they find themselves with 0 points at the start of the 08-09 season.)
If there were a great demand for loans of H$ in the game, a bank is the way to go probably. But loans then encourage leveraged wagers - Bear Stearns, here we come. -
Inappropriate?You would probably wind up with a HubBernanke reducing interest rates to obsessively low levels. This would not only punish the depositors in the RBofHD, but cause significant HubFlation ... the condition in which H$ retained as cash lose value. Remember the Carter Presidency (or maybe the Bush 2 Presidency)
I’m trying to forget the Carter presidency .. . not to mention the a$$ he's made of himself since!
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Inappropriate?It was my impression that many members of the highest echelon of the leader board were looking for a way to sequester large amounts of cash to enable them to better compete with the Hub Polloi in percentage earnings. If that is the case, I agree that it should be entirely voluntary and there should be a codified mechanism by which a FBofHD depositor should be able to withdraw all, or some, of their deposits.
In fact, it was your acceptance of HubMarxism, that started my train of thought, and I'm _very_ impressed that so many of the HDers at the top of the leader board supported redistribution of H$. My thought is that the voluntary sequestering of H$ by the HubWealthy might eliminate the need for any top-down meddling in the market.
Also, InfernalMachine, I never interpreted your comments as a personal attack, or an attack on my ideas. I propose things, some are good ideas, some are not so good. They all require that folks with other opinions challenge them ... that's how synergy occurs. People freely expressing their opinions, but open to the suggestions of others ... I think _this_ community embodies that spirit to a degree I have rarely seen on the 'net .. and I've been on the 'net since it was Usenet, and not Internet.
I’m realizing I've been doing this for a long time
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Inappropriate?"I'm _very_ impressed that so many of the HDers at the top of the leader board supported redistribution of H$"
Well, the thing is my intention isn't selfless: it's selfish. I can't handle so much money(look at my profile:$240,000 in cash), so I want a bank to deposit my cash to have a high level of growth.
I’m silly
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Inappropriate?Rohan, you can simply use questions in which the percentage is 90+ to invest in that you are certain of outcome. Will britany move in with hiedi, will obama drop out of race, there are good questions to put money into, tie it up for a month make 7-8% on it and still have access to it as well. I think the reason so many at the top were open to ideas is because they are very active on the site, enjoy what it has been, want to see it continue to grow. I think most of them enjoying the fact that there is no scaling or redistribution is they were okay with whatever it took to grow the site. I have different ideas of what it takes to make the site incredible.
I too could have large amounts of cash, but instead I look for questions and wager on them. With 240, 000 that is only 24 questions placing 10k on each of them. I have about 65k in the obama question, 30k in the pennsylvania primary outcome, another 30k in the which will end higher at end of month google or yahoo. Taking big risks make for good results, and if I lose a few of them well I stll got quite a bit of money. I have taken to wagering more on sports questions than I use to.
I love being an active member on this site. I like that the admins (most of them) are very open to suggestions, and they really care of the success of the site as well. I think it would be great if there was an admin schedule so that someone was covering site 24 hours a day. That way issues could be resolved fairly quickly, quesitons that were obvious gaming could be voided (and the user REPRIMANDED). -
Inappropriate?That wouldn't work out as wanted in terms of % Gain leaderboards, I think.
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Inappropriate?Yes. But why should people who are at the top of the net worth board, and who are possibly at the top of the new quarterly gain board, also be trying to compete on the weekly percent gain board? I thought the idea was to have more people getting recognition. The inertia of large portfolios is going to open up the weekly board to people with less net worth who are predicting well. Isn't that a good thing? If a rich player wants a higher weekly gain situation, they can pull a 4d and try to reduce their net worth to a more manageable level. It's a choice.
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Inappropriate?You're right. I just answered for rohan. He said "(...) to have a high level of growth.". For my part, I don't have this luxury problem :)
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Inappropriate?I think everyone can acknowledge that the weekly gain % leaderboard is going to be easier to be on if you have little amount of cash. Which I think is the purpose of the leaderboard.
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Inappropriate?woohoo...i've officially become a verb!!!...or adverb or whatever english term that is
I’m silly
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Inappropriate?Wow, we're coining new words, which is pretty cool! I think both Spitzer and 4d are verbs. As far as I know the only person who's name, in the English language, is an adjective, is Rube Goldberg.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rube_Gol...
I’m into language!
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Inappropriate?"c) we won't reset or rescale anyone's cash or predictions"
Thanks you!!!
= )
I’m not losing H$ afterall....
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