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Politics Market Settlement
I've received a flag on a politics market here: http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_N...
The flag states: "I appreciate it's important to wait on these matters, within reason, but this question is about the editor Bill Keller. Now, it may emerge that McCain was shagging the Barbie doll but either way there is no chance I can see that NY Times Editor Bill Kellor will be fired or forced to resign. If evidence emerged McCain was doing the mango tango with her, Bill Kellor keeps his job with kudos. As it stands now, Bill Kellor is in fact wrong and has kept his job. What is the likely outcome of this almost dead event? Bill Kellor keeps his job.
Bill Keller has recently been prattling on about his man in Zimbabwe. I think we can safely assume he indeed has kept his job. Can we close the question?"
So the question I have is how should we settle this market?
Because the question creator designed the market with the suspend date, it would be hard to change the date or settle now. But, with that said I'd agree that the market suspend date is just to far away for a resignation to be attributed to the Iseman affair. So please comment and give your view on the settlement of this market and hopefully we'll have a decision soon.
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
The flag states: "I appreciate it's important to wait on these matters, within reason, but this question is about the editor Bill Keller. Now, it may emerge that McCain was shagging the Barbie doll but either way there is no chance I can see that NY Times Editor Bill Kellor will be fired or forced to resign. If evidence emerged McCain was doing the mango tango with her, Bill Kellor keeps his job with kudos. As it stands now, Bill Kellor is in fact wrong and has kept his job. What is the likely outcome of this almost dead event? Bill Kellor keeps his job.
Bill Keller has recently been prattling on about his man in Zimbabwe. I think we can safely assume he indeed has kept his job. Can we close the question?"
So the question I have is how should we settle this market?
Because the question creator designed the market with the suspend date, it would be hard to change the date or settle now. But, with that said I'd agree that the market suspend date is just to far away for a resignation to be attributed to the Iseman affair. So please comment and give your view on the settlement of this market and hopefully we'll have a decision soon.
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
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After reading through everyones responses, I've decided to settle the market as a no. Kellor has not resigned as of yet, and no information leads to the belief that he will resign due to the Iseman incident.
If he did resign it would be hard to confirm the reasoning behind the resignation and with the current disappearance of the Iseman issue, it is doubtful the subject story would be the cause of a resignation.
Thanks to everyone who responded to this thread, couldn't have gotten a settlement status without the users responses.
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
I’m thankful
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Inappropriate?The longer this question remains open the higher the likelihood that we end up with another Spitzer fiasco. If Bill Kellor was to be fired (or resign) between now and the suspend date I supect we'll have people on both sides of the bet debating whether or not his departure can be attributed to the McCain-Iseman "affair". -
Inappropriate?Ryan - here's a question for you. When is the last time someone bought the "he'll resign" side of the question? If people are still betting on that side then some folks are counting on this going as long as possible...
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Inappropriate?I agree with BC on this matter. Any resignation or firing now could easily be attributed to any numbers of reasons for such a high profile editor as Bill Kellor, and furthermore those reasons may be public knowledge or not. Worth bearing in mind is that for whatever reason, this story is now off the news agenda and seems unlikely to rear its head for the next 12 weeks or the foreseeable future. The time for a sacking has passed and it looks unlikely he'll be resigning anytime soon. -
Inappropriate?Perhaps the date can be brought forward by say, half? That way people can still bail once they see the writing on the wall.
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Inappropriate?well, I understand this may seem to be a good compromise outcome here, but already the percentage for "No" has risen from about around 70% i think to 80% in the time since this conversation. As a way to move forward I'm okay with it, but the fact remains that, through online news sources, we can verify that Bill has been neither sacked nor has he resigned over this issue and the matter is finished - so the question should be settled.
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Inappropriate?After reading through everyones responses, I've decided to settle the market as a no. Kellor has not resigned as of yet, and no information leads to the belief that he will resign due to the Iseman incident.
If he did resign it would be hard to confirm the reasoning behind the resignation and with the current disappearance of the Iseman issue, it is doubtful the subject story would be the cause of a resignation.
Thanks to everyone who responded to this thread, couldn't have gotten a settlement status without the users responses.
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
I’m thankful
The company says
this solves the problem
