Proposed new procedure for dealing with gaming (part 2)
*Admissions and Observations*
1. We do take gaming seriously however with all the other demands of running the site we probably haven't given it the attention it deserves. Part of the reason was we had hoped to deliver question approval functionality (which would eliminate most forms of gaming) sooner.
2. In the case of Satyaki my initial proposed resolution was obviously insufficient (my mistake)
3. One reason that Satyaki has stood out is his interest in Indian sport and entertainment. We have significantly less Indian than American users which means (a) they stand out and (b) questions at initially poor odds are much more likely to benefit the question creator. The Indian cricket questions were made significantly in advance of both the event and Satyaki making a prediction. If these had been about US sports other users would have shared in taking advantage of initially poor odds.
4. That said, Satyaki was obviously aware of this and repeatedly created starting estimates for a team at 48% which he subsequently thought were good value at 90% plus. Additionally, Satyaki is the only Hubdub user to be previously fined for gaming.
5. There have been other low level gamers that have received warnings and placed on an internal watchlist however no one else has progressed to a fine. Thanks to all the users for highlighting gaming.
6. (Jenniandboys point) Category editors always review flags. The current process is not to respond to the person who flagged the issue.
*General Resolution*
1. Revised procedure for dealing with gaming:
- First instance: Email warning
- Second instance: 50% fine, public notice and 2 week block on ability to create questions
- Third instance: Account closure
We could make this more aggressive (e.g. closure on first instance) however there are three issues with that.
(1) Most users just don't read the rules before they play and also for most social sites/games the accepted rules are unwritten therefore there is no point looking for them.
(2) I have emailed users (including some in this forum) about suspected gaming who have convinced me of their innocence. It can sometimes be very difficult to prove gaming between accounts.
(3) In usability studies we have done we have found new users very hesitant to create new questions. Basically they were scared they would do something wrong. Adding in the threat that they will potentially get their account closed would make that worse.
We won't at this time ban at IP level however if we do start to encounter a problem of account re-openings we will implement a more rigorous approach to user verification (e.g. banning of web mail etc)
2. To help make user activity more visible, we will list all users participating in a particular question on the question page. We are still working out the details of that.
3. We will implement question approval functionality by April 28th.
4. We will publish the new rules on gaming being discussed here: http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/top...
5. (Jenniandboys list of potential gamers) Some of these we have already identified but I will review this to see if we need to take further action here. Thanks for your diligence.
6. We will review how the site currently links to the rules to ensure they are more widely read (good point newswrangler)
7. We will improve integration between Hubdub and Get Satisfaction (another good point newswrangler)
*Resolution re Satyaki*
This has been the third time that Satyaki has been caught gaming. His one defence is that he has complied with the letter of the rules, although clearly not the spirit by which the vast majority of the other users adhere to. The discussion above is finely balanced between people who think he should be banned outright and others who think he should be heavily penalised. A smaller proportion of users feel he has been unfairly targeted.
As we don’t have a consensus I propose to put this to a vote. At 8pm BST I will create a question in the Hubdub category asking for users vote on what we should do. The options will be:
1) Fine of H$8,300 (the amount earned from the gamed cricket questions) and 2 week bar on question creation
2) Fine of 50% of net worth and 2 week bar on question creation
3) Fine down to H$1,000 and 2 week bar on question creation
4) Account closed
The question will remain open for 24 hours and I will request users to place one comment each stating their vote (e.g. vote using the comments, not the market). Votes from accounts that have been created after this post or are from accounts suspected of gaming will not be counted. If no option has a simple majority then we will average and round to the nearest integer option number (round up on 0.5). E.g. votes of 1, 3, 4, 2, 2, 4 averages to 2.667 and therefore we would apply option 3 (fine down to H$1,000).
*Question*
Users can currently make public or private predictions. Making private predictions obviously reduces the ability for other users to identify users who are gaming the system. So the question is: Should we change the system so that all predictions are public?
1. We do take gaming seriously however with all the other demands of running the site we probably haven't given it the attention it deserves. Part of the reason was we had hoped to deliver question approval functionality (which would eliminate most forms of gaming) sooner.
2. In the case of Satyaki my initial proposed resolution was obviously insufficient (my mistake)
3. One reason that Satyaki has stood out is his interest in Indian sport and entertainment. We have significantly less Indian than American users which means (a) they stand out and (b) questions at initially poor odds are much more likely to benefit the question creator. The Indian cricket questions were made significantly in advance of both the event and Satyaki making a prediction. If these had been about US sports other users would have shared in taking advantage of initially poor odds.
4. That said, Satyaki was obviously aware of this and repeatedly created starting estimates for a team at 48% which he subsequently thought were good value at 90% plus. Additionally, Satyaki is the only Hubdub user to be previously fined for gaming.
5. There have been other low level gamers that have received warnings and placed on an internal watchlist however no one else has progressed to a fine. Thanks to all the users for highlighting gaming.
6. (Jenniandboys point) Category editors always review flags. The current process is not to respond to the person who flagged the issue.
*General Resolution*
1. Revised procedure for dealing with gaming:
- First instance: Email warning
- Second instance: 50% fine, public notice and 2 week block on ability to create questions
- Third instance: Account closure
We could make this more aggressive (e.g. closure on first instance) however there are three issues with that.
(1) Most users just don't read the rules before they play and also for most social sites/games the accepted rules are unwritten therefore there is no point looking for them.
(2) I have emailed users (including some in this forum) about suspected gaming who have convinced me of their innocence. It can sometimes be very difficult to prove gaming between accounts.
(3) In usability studies we have done we have found new users very hesitant to create new questions. Basically they were scared they would do something wrong. Adding in the threat that they will potentially get their account closed would make that worse.
We won't at this time ban at IP level however if we do start to encounter a problem of account re-openings we will implement a more rigorous approach to user verification (e.g. banning of web mail etc)
2. To help make user activity more visible, we will list all users participating in a particular question on the question page. We are still working out the details of that.
3. We will implement question approval functionality by April 28th.
4. We will publish the new rules on gaming being discussed here: http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/top...
5. (Jenniandboys list of potential gamers) Some of these we have already identified but I will review this to see if we need to take further action here. Thanks for your diligence.
6. We will review how the site currently links to the rules to ensure they are more widely read (good point newswrangler)
7. We will improve integration between Hubdub and Get Satisfaction (another good point newswrangler)
*Resolution re Satyaki*
This has been the third time that Satyaki has been caught gaming. His one defence is that he has complied with the letter of the rules, although clearly not the spirit by which the vast majority of the other users adhere to. The discussion above is finely balanced between people who think he should be banned outright and others who think he should be heavily penalised. A smaller proportion of users feel he has been unfairly targeted.
As we don’t have a consensus I propose to put this to a vote. At 8pm BST I will create a question in the Hubdub category asking for users vote on what we should do. The options will be:
1) Fine of H$8,300 (the amount earned from the gamed cricket questions) and 2 week bar on question creation
2) Fine of 50% of net worth and 2 week bar on question creation
3) Fine down to H$1,000 and 2 week bar on question creation
4) Account closed
The question will remain open for 24 hours and I will request users to place one comment each stating their vote (e.g. vote using the comments, not the market). Votes from accounts that have been created after this post or are from accounts suspected of gaming will not be counted. If no option has a simple majority then we will average and round to the nearest integer option number (round up on 0.5). E.g. votes of 1, 3, 4, 2, 2, 4 averages to 2.667 and therefore we would apply option 3 (fine down to H$1,000).
*Question*
Users can currently make public or private predictions. Making private predictions obviously reduces the ability for other users to identify users who are gaming the system. So the question is: Should we change the system so that all predictions are public?
6
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Tell me when someone answers.
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The best answer from the company
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Some clarifications re the vote:
- A simple majority refers to >50% of the votes cast (e.g. if there were 20 votes cast then an option would have to have 11 or more votes to have a simple majority)
- The vote will remain open for 24 hours after which the majority view will be immediately implemented
- Future problems with gaming will be dealt with by admins without resorting to a vote as we will have clear set of agreed rules
However a number of good points were made above about the problem of running this on a question. Therefore, instead I propose we do it by email with each user sending me an email of how they want to vote. I will reveal the final result at the end of the 24 hour period.
Lastly, I would really appeal to people to help us on this one. We have always tried from the start to be completely open, responsive and inclusive. Whatever decision we come to on this particular question some people are going to disagree with it. This process I believed was fairest in (a) making sure we took the decision that represents the majority view and (b) makes it clear that we are listening.
The company says
this answers the question
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Inappropriate?There has been 72 hours of discussion, the last thing we need is another 24 hours, in which satayki and all of his creative skills can be implemented to reduce his penalty.
I am on strike until Satayki is dealt with and think the idea of creating a question with user votes is suspect. If Satayki has been caught three times, then banning is appropriate. Period end of sentence. Ban him so those users who are honest can return to this site and help build it to what it should be.
1 person says
this answers the question
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Inappropriate?Okay now that I have had a minute to read this. You are saying that we are all encouraged to game the site until we are caught once, then we get our little email warning. That isn't doing anything to discourage cheating, it is encouraging it.
If a person is suspected of gaming and evidence shows gaming was attempted or completed, thier account should immediately be reset to 1k. They should be warned, and told on thier next instance of gaming they will be banned.
This way the users are not rewarded for gaming the system. Under your proposed rules, if I gamed the system for 100k, I would lose 50k, but not til after 2nd offense, that is just way too lenient. -
Inappropriate?I agree with the spirit of Destry's comments.
However, I think that the results of Nigel's Question will be interesting, in and of itself. Surely we can take an additional 24 hours to see what the community feels. It seems mighty democratic that way.
After the vote and analysis, I would hope that Hubdub can implement the action swiftly, so that we can all get back to our favorite past time.
I’m confident we'll get over this
1 person says
this answers the question
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Inappropriate?A vote will only show accurate results if the entire hubdub community is informed of the situation, invited to vote and allowed time to review the information.
Using a news prediction forum to process a vote does not seem like a good idea. If the hubdub site is used for this vote the question should very clearly be identified so it is not confused as just another news predicting question.
I think it is most important to embrace transparency throughout this process or it will only lead to another controversy.
Mork (I AM ON STRIKE)
Thank You; to those supporting this cause! -
Inappropriate?Well the vote in itself is problematic. Using Nigels example. Option 3 would be implemented even though only 1 out of 6 voters chose that option. Doesn't seem very democratic.
So now should we initiate a campaign. I thought the idea of extending it this far was that there were only users who came in on weekends and different days of week, so now we excluding all of them.
This problem should be solved by the admins at Hubdub. There are 10 of them. I suggest they each get a vote, and post the results and move forward. Using the new proposed rules would ban him. This is getting ridiculous.
2 people say
this answers the question
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Inappropriate?Anyone found cheating should have all their predictions made public.
2 people say
this answers the question
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Inappropriate?And how about some campaign slogans. A vote for 4 is a vote for honesty. Do you believe in Hope if so vote for 4. Do you want change then vote for 4.
Should I start my own 527 so I can begin running campaign commercials. Please we need some campaign finance rules. I got a butt load of hubdub cash.
1 person says
this answers the question
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Inappropriate?Initially, I thought that an e-mail warning for the first offense was too lenient, but Nigel's explanation makes sense. He and the other admins have many concerns to weigh and this seems to strike the proper balance.
I don't own the site but if I did, I would feel comfortable with the three-step punishment process outlined above, especially because the admins have demonstrated their willingness to address concerns. If it turns out that this process does not work, I trust the admins will be willing to re-visit the question.
Making all predictions public makes sense too. I can't think of any legitimate reason one might have for wanting to hide a predicition. -
Inappropriate?I feel this proposal meets reasonable guidelines for a way to deal with cheaters in the future. Basically this proposal is a variation of the 3 strikes and you are out, which usually works in both baseball and the justice system.
Since Satyaki has been found to be an unrepentant gamer, he should be banned immediately as an example to others. -
Inappropriate?I like the three strikes and you're gone policy. Two strikes is too harsh. Four just allows a little too much heat to build up among the user base.
I guess the only addition that I would ask for is on the first instance, I believe you should receive an email warning AND have any profits from the identified gaming removed from your account.
I wish I had paid more attention to the GetSatisfaction site this weekend...I missed a lot of solid debating!
I’m happy that this issue is coming to an end!
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Inappropriate?My thoughts are that a user who games should be given a do over. Thier account reset to 1k. And a complete understanding of the rules given to them. Then if they do again, see ya.
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Inappropriate?Ah, forgot to weigh in on public/private predictions. I think it is an interesting question, and does not have quite a simple solution. If you happen to know that a particular account is very good at a particular topic, you can always piggy back on their votes. I feel this is valid reason for wanting to hide your predictions.
Making all users involved in a question known is one thing that I agree with. Making the exact predictions known, I do NOT agree with.
I’m still happy
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Inappropriate?Ahh, yes, didn't think of that.
I now agree with mork that a hubdub 'comment-based' vote could not be considered accurate unless more time is given to get the word out to all interested parties. Then, that vote would have to be scheduled for some future date so that all interested parties could ensure that they are available.
I think a simple vote by the admins and/or other folks at Hubdub HQ will suffice at this point.
1 person says
this answers the question
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Inappropriate?i think this one is up the administration to deal with. putting the onus on the users to determine punishments will only result the ones with the most to say getting their way. if hubdub wants to maintain their integrity they have to make a decsion that is in the best interest of their investment not in appeasing the disgruntled. it is what they decide to do that will affect the future of this fine site.
i will not vote (i'm on strike) but do look forward to seeing what the outcome is
1 person says
this answers the question
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Inappropriate?1. Gaming rules: Although I agree with some users that unambiguous gaming deserves more than a warning, some gaming is harder to identify and so it is a little harsh to suggest that the first penalty is knocking a user back to 1000$. That said, the admins should hold the right to skip step 1 and go directly to step 2 in the case of egregious cheating. Otherwise, am in agreement. Flags reviewed: its fine if you don’t tell us the resolution of the flags, we just need to trust that they are being read (and acted upon when necessary).
2. Users active in a question: Love it!
3. Question approval: YES YES YES
5. List: It wasn’t those particular accounts I was worried about (although I’m glad you’re going to check them out). My point is that gaming is more widespread than one person. I’d like to see gaming as a whole addressed rather than endless discussions about what to do with one person.
Satyaki resolution:
1. To everyone else, note Nigel said the vote is being done based on COMMENTS not on money wagered. This does not cross the picket line.
2. I do think that Satyaki has been unfairly targeted, however I also think he should be heavily penalized. Between options 2,3 and 4 I’m somewhat ambivalent. Again, I think this particular case of gaming is not egregious. However, it is his third warning and so I’m understanding of the calls for banning.
3. I don’t especially like the precedent of voting a user “off the island”. I appreciate that you’re trying to represent the will of the community (and will participate when the question is posted), but I hope you don’t plan to follow a similar pattern for future problems.
Public/Private:
I keep all my bets public, but that’s my choice. I don’t think you should force users to keep their bets public. For that matter, its not really our job to find gamers. (is it?)
I’m looking forward to ending this chapter of Hubdub history.
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Inappropriate?I guess this is a quick reminder to all posters on this thread.
Please use this area to comment on the proposed rules. It has been kept in check, but there is a foreseeable slide into this being yet another thread that is spent debating the Satyaki issue.
There are a couple other threads where that can be debated, and I must admit that I am more interested in this thread due to its implications on future rules. I'm just asking that the outcome of the Satyaki situation be discussed in one of those other threads.
Thank you. -
Inappropriate?If no option has a simple majority then we will average and round to the nearest integer option number (round up on 0.5). E.g. votes of 1, 3, 4, 2, 2, 4 averages to 2.667 and therefore we would apply option 3 (fine down to H$1,000).
If no option has a simple majority (are you defining a simple majority as "one" [1] ?), what would be the effect of averaging the top two voted options, as opposed to averaging all of the votes?
I also think that if you are going to go the route of trying to get a vote on this from the user community then an email to all users is in order.
As has been mentioned by Destry in this thread, and by you in the earlier thread, different users are on this site on different days ...
This proposed vote feels problematic to me. It would be unfortunate if the results of the "vote" were worse than the consensus you claim you don't have.
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