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EMPLOYEE
Settlement of Feb. 5 Markets (Please Discuss)
Hi everyone,
After researching new information regarding the delegate counts from Feb. 5 on the democratic side. I've looked over and collected data concluding that with much certainty Obama did win the most delegates on Feb. 5.
But before I settle I want to explain how I've come to this conclusion and get some feedback. The sites used for the data on the Feb. 5 markets where:
http://elections.foxnews.com/states/
http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/...
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21660914#MO
From these sites I got the current Feb. 5 totals gained. Now none of the totals were exactly the same. But all the totals gave Obama a lead. These are the totals:
Fox: Obama-830 Clinton-814
CNN Obama-846 Clinton-823
MSNBC Obama-846 Clinton-832
With the links provided I ask anyone willing to check me to do so. The question is now should we settle with that information? The markets that would need to be settled are:
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Which_...
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Which_...
So what do people think?
Cheers,
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
After researching new information regarding the delegate counts from Feb. 5 on the democratic side. I've looked over and collected data concluding that with much certainty Obama did win the most delegates on Feb. 5.
But before I settle I want to explain how I've come to this conclusion and get some feedback. The sites used for the data on the Feb. 5 markets where:
http://elections.foxnews.com/states/
http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/...
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21660914#MO
From these sites I got the current Feb. 5 totals gained. Now none of the totals were exactly the same. But all the totals gave Obama a lead. These are the totals:
Fox: Obama-830 Clinton-814
CNN Obama-846 Clinton-823
MSNBC Obama-846 Clinton-832
With the links provided I ask anyone willing to check me to do so. The question is now should we settle with that information? The markets that would need to be settled are:
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Which_...
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Which_...
So what do people think?
Cheers,
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
I’m undecided
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Inappropriate?looks good to me ryan...however, this question should be included i think http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Who_wi... -
Inappropriate?Obama did win the most delegates on Feb. 5.
If the totals you researched indicate, as it appears, that Obama won both the most delegates from only the February 5th contests, and also had the total lead from all contests up to, and including February 5th, then I'd go ahead and settle the appropriate markets.
I didn't look at the reference links, but presume there aren't, somehow, enough "not-yet-allocated-pledged-delegates-from-Feb 5th" that could change the result.
Props to you, Ryan, for wading through all of this!
[Disclosure: never in any of the markets.] -
Inappropriate?Sounds good to me. I only wish I hadn't cashed out most of my Obama wagers after "predicting" these questions would sit until the convention.
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Inappropriate?Ok, well we can finally put Super Tuesday behind us mostly... I've settled all the markets including the one mentioned by 4d.
I'll probably still get those shivers down my spine when I hear Super Tuesday though....
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
I’m thankful
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Inappropriate?Yes, what a mess, for what looked to be a straightforward set of questions. At least we're forewarned for the election.
EMPLOYEE
