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EMPLOYEE
Should this market be settled? (Politics)
Well with all the "hubbub" going on regarding gaming, maybe a refreshing discussion about a quarrelsome market to settle will alleviate the stress. :-)
Problem: I have a market regarding a contest in Michigan to seat delegates at the Democratic convention located here:
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_M...
I've received a settlement request for the market using this report as the settlement source:
http://www.newsmax.com/politics/prima...
Here's the problem, I'm a bit hesitant because newsmax says no primary or caucus will be held. But the market in question regards a "contest" which is such a bloody ambiguous word that I'm kicking myself for not clarifying the market earlier.
So should we settle it now, or wait? For all we know some weird cockamamie contest will be developed to settle the MIchigan debate, on the other hand it's very hard to tell what will happen with Michigan. So what's everyone else think?
Cheers,
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
Problem: I have a market regarding a contest in Michigan to seat delegates at the Democratic convention located here:
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_M...
I've received a settlement request for the market using this report as the settlement source:
http://www.newsmax.com/politics/prima...
Here's the problem, I'm a bit hesitant because newsmax says no primary or caucus will be held. But the market in question regards a "contest" which is such a bloody ambiguous word that I'm kicking myself for not clarifying the market earlier.
So should we settle it now, or wait? For all we know some weird cockamamie contest will be developed to settle the MIchigan debate, on the other hand it's very hard to tell what will happen with Michigan. So what's everyone else think?
Cheers,
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
I’m undecided
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Inappropriate?I hope we can wait this out, whispers in Meechigan hint to some cockadoodle doo yankee doodle dandy contest at that!
oh, yea, and so I can win some $H,
I’m patient with this market
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Inappropriate?I thought it was too early to settle before, but I think we're at the 99% margin that they won't do anything too hairbrained at this point.
CNN says they are just working with DNC to get people seated now, not working out any new contest ideas. I feel safe closing this one out.
BTW you forgot to suspend the market while its in arbitration...
I’m glad to discuss the news again
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Inappropriate?I agree "contest" is an ambiguous term -- however it may also be exceeding clever based on past difficulties in differentiating between primaries, caucuses, straw polls, etc. ;-)
That said, I also think this is at the 99.9% stage, and the market can be settled as "no".
[Disclosure: I have no predictions, past or present, in this market.]
While it's great that this discussion topic was opened, it's disappointing that, once again, there's no mention of it in the comments thread for the market in question. -
Inappropriate?Thanks for all the responses I'm going to settle the market as a no. Remember a resettle is always possible if those rumors from Michigan come true.
Not only did I forget to link this discussion to the market, I also forgot to suspend the market. I blame the strike :-) Anyway though I'll suspend the market now, link to this discussion and if by the end of tonight nothing new has come about I'm settling.
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
I’m confident
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Inappropriate?No more response have come in as of yet. Therefore I'm settling the market.
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
I’m thankful
EMPLOYEE
