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andrew started following the discussion "Business Indices Questions - Restrictions have become Necessary" in Hubdub.
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andrew set one of andrew's replies as an official response to "Delta and NWA merger settlement" in Hubdub
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andrew replied on April 15, 2008 18:42 to the problem "Delta and NWA merger settlement" in Hubdub:
Hi everybody, after reading your replies here is the solution I propose;
If a market states "will company X merge with/acquire company Y", then it will be settled based on the event of completion as in too many cases the proposed deal may fall through. Obviously markets can be created stating "will company X officially announce", but unless stated otherwise the event will cause settlement. Therefore with timing issues the event will matter rather than the announcement. I feel this is the clearest solution and allows both types of market to exist.
I realise that there is no painless solution for the two markets currently suspended, but for reasons of consistency, I feel it is necessary to apply this approach. Therefore I will reopen them.
Regards,
Andrew
Hubdub Business Category Manager -
andrew reported a problem in Hubdub on April 14, 2008 23:17:
Delta and NWA merger settlementHi everybody, I am keen to avoid a potential Spitzer in this market and have therefore escalated it to Get Satisfaction. The market in question regards a proposed merger between Delta and Northwest airlines, and the question asks if it will happen "before June 1st".
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_D...
The "Spitzer clause" in the rules for the politics category (2.3.1) is of obvious relevance and I think a good outcome would be to end up with a rule for similar circumstances in the Business category.
My personal position would be to settle yes if they announced a merger tomorrow, but I know some will have differing viewpoints if they don't actually become one company before June 1st. Therefore I am very interested to hear your views so that a sensible conclusion can be made if they do announce a merger. As always please reveal any positions you have in the market.
Thanks,
Andrew
Hubdub Business Category Manager -
andrew replied on April 10, 2008 11:58 to the discussion "(Almost) duplicate markets" in Hubdub:
Hi Jenniandboys,
Thanks for asking this, it is an interesting question. I would really like to hear what users think is the best way to go with this, and would like to hear any ideas put forward by the user base.
Regards,
Andrew -
andrew set one of andrew's replies as an official response to "Was "Will CIT Group Inc. be purchased by 3/21/2008?" settled too soon?" in Hubdub
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andrew replied on March 21, 2008 17:29 to the question "Was "Will CIT Group Inc. be purchased by 3/21/2008?" settled too soon?" in Hubdub:
Hi Newswrangler,
Yes you are right this market was settled too soon. Therefore I have reopened it for the rest of the day. Well done for spotting that.
Regards,
Andrew -
andrew started a conversation in Hubdub on February 02, 2008 23:49:
Question ambiguityHubdub has had a few questions appearing such as, "Will Dow Jones be up on February 8,2008?" The problem with this is the phrasing "be up". It is open to multiple interpretations depending on the reading and could result in a settlement different to a users belief in what the question asked. Better questions are "Will the Dow Jones Close up on Feb 8?" This can be very reasonably settled as whether the Dow rose or fell that day. -
andrew started a conversation in Hubdub on January 30, 2008 23:51:
Market settlement time.On the 30th of January a market regarding the movement of the Dow was settled with a cut off time before the market shut. In response to our users, we resolved this issue by readjusting the end time to what it should have been to start with.
