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rohan marked one of InfernalMachine's replies in Hubdub as useful. InfernalMachine replied to the idea "Are 24 Hour markets fair?".
rohan replied on February 07, 2008 16:04 to the idea "Are 24 Hour markets fair?" in Hubdub:
Perfect reply. Now your suggestion makes more sense to me, but what happens if the end date is during the rest time
eg. the rest time is 1 am to 8 am, but the end time of the question is 4 am. so, if I bet at 2 am, the wager is voided because when the markets re-open, the betting time is up.
Otherwise, nice suggestion-
rohan started following the idea "Are 24 Hour markets fair?" in Hubdub.
rohan replied on February 07, 2008 09:31 to the idea "Are 24 Hour markets fair?" in Hubdub:
I disagree.
1.Your argument contradicts itself. People from around the world place bets at different times, and it is to their disadvantage if there are rest periods. Also, if I discover a good question from some other user's profile or otherwise, then the prediction may be suspended due to the rest period
2.Assuming you are saying that markets remain open from x - y o'clock as per each timezone, then what happens is if the DOW is open when my market is closed, then I'm in trouble
Feel free to prove me wrong/refute what I'm saying
rohan replied on February 07, 2008 06:32 to the problem "Over-hasty settlement: Clinton v Obama delegate count" in Hubdub:
rohan marked one of InfernalMachine's replies in Hubdub as useful. InfernalMachine replied to the question "Some confusion regarding percentages".
rohan marked one of InfernalMachine's replies in Hubdub as useful. InfernalMachine replied to the question "Some confusion regarding percentages".
rohan replied on February 06, 2008 11:25 to the question "Some confusion regarding percentages" in Hubdub:
rohan replied on February 06, 2008 08:07 to the question "Some confusion regarding percentages" in Hubdub:
rohan replied on February 06, 2008 02:11 to the question "Some confusion regarding percentages" in Hubdub:
What I did was place one bet at 7.61% which now shows value at 53.09%, and another bet at 12.96% which shows value at 46.78% and a third bet at 26.38% which shows current value at 46.95%
The actual value of the option is 56% as per the stats above(where you can select the option you want to wager on)
rohan asked a question in Hubdub on February 05, 2008 17:36:
Some confusion regarding percentagesHi Everyone.
I have staked a lot on the "How many hubdub staffers will be in the top 20 by the end of Wednesday?" question, and while checking out my predictions, I noticed that the "currently worth" heading had different values for the same guess. What I mean is that if I had two bets on option 3, one showed: H$ 'x' at 45% and another showed H$ 'y' at 56%. The correct percentage on the option was 56%. What happens here is that :
1. I lose money on potential cash-ins
2. My total wealth shows lower.
It would be great if someone could explain if I've misunderstood the system or if it's a bug. I have a screenshot if anyone wants to see it an understand my problem better.
Thanks,
Rohan
rohan replied on February 05, 2008 12:38 to the question "Should Hubdub insiders who settle questions be allowed to make predictions?" in Hubdub:
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