Did 'Green Book'(2018), Oscar-nominated in five categories score an upset Best Picture victory over 'Roma' (2018), Oscar-nominated in ten categories at the 91st Academy Awards ceremony? It has been suggested that a minority bloc of voters who take issue with streaming films being considered for Oscars engineered the upset. The Oscars preferential voting system likely was an unwitting accomplice, by reassigning votes from other Best Picture nominees until a clear majority winner emerges. As such, sentiment against a film can factor as much as the having the most top-ranked votes on the initial ballot. An unbiased head-to-head voting competition would decide if this matter is a true conspiracy or just bunk and settle the issue once and for all.
Which 2019 Oscar nominee would get your vote in a pure head-to-head competition for Best Picture?
See the two competing Best Picture Oscar nominees rerun the 2019 race, this time in a head-to head match-up here: https://www.imdb.com/list/ls046530068
Poll: https://www.imdb.com/poll/RgsMxH0go2A/
Which 2019 Oscar nominee would get your vote in a pure head-to-head competition for Best Picture?
See the two competing Best Picture Oscar nominees rerun the 2019 race, this time in a head-to head match-up here: https://www.imdb.com/list/ls046530068
Poll: https://www.imdb.com/poll/RgsMxH0go2A/






urbanemovies
It seems bolder more polarizing films are penalized with a tiered voting system. You are penalized for having a high percentage of last place votes, even though you might have the most first place votes. A safer, more mediocre film can emerge to win with a strong concentration of third, forth and fifth place votes, even though it is nobody's favorite film.
To be fair, all voting systems are going to have advantages and disadvantages. It is easy to criticize, the key is to pick the least flawed system. Supposedly, the current system is designed to pick consensus Best Picture winners.
I wonder how those other match-ups would fare in a pure head-to head vote. Moonlight vs. La La Land, The Revenant vs. Spotlight, Birdman vs. Boyhood or Gravity vs. 12 Years a Slave. I also agree some of these won't stand the test of time and are more a function of the circumstances and timing of the vote. It is easy to find numerous examples of movies that never (in hindsight) should have won the Oscar Best Picture.
In this situation, it easy to see how a hate vote by ranking a clear favorite film eighth out of eight nominees on enough ballots can counteract a film that that has the most first or second place votes, if the voting process goes on long enough.The next highest vote from other films are reassigned after each ballot as the lowest place finisher on each ballot is eliminated. Our favorite film, The Godfather (1972) was the target of a similar campaign on IMDb with almost 2.5% of voters rating it a one to lower its IMDb rating and its overall rank. These voters intent was more about preventing the film from being top ranked than it was about hating the film.
15yearsIMDber aka ElMo